What is clear is that rounds 5-7 and UDFA are all equally likely to be successful and folks shouldn’t get all worked up about the difference between them. Even 4th round is barely different.
This is a win at all cost league - if you make the 53 man roster you have a chance to show the coaching staff something. Being a first or second rounder gives you a lock on making the 53 man roster for two years, but after that it is all about talent. There is no way that there were 80 7th...
And in the last 10 years, the median draft position for a Pro Bowl selected player is 32 (interestingly the last pick of the first round). So, 50% of Pro Bowlers come from first round and 60% of Hall of Famers come from the first round.
And on the theme of the myth busting “talent is evenly distributed in the NFL draft” . . .
Below are the number of Hall of Fame inductees drafted since the AFL/NFL merger (54 years) in each round.
Round 1 - 81
Round 2 - 18
Round 3 - 12
Round 4 - 8
Round 5 - 3
Round 6 - 2
Round 7 - 2...
I have read a few of his football papers. Not very convincing. I assume his Nobel was for something else other than football. His “freakanomics” stuff has fallen out of favor in economics for good reason. And the math behind the “only 53% advantage vs next pick” does not mean mathematically...
Yes nickname - but appears it stuck.
https://www.sportingnews.com/us/ncaa-football/news/kool-aid-mckinstry-real-name-alabama-nickname/f04733fe7b2784bf2b0f8c24